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Red80
876721.8
515022.8
921028.4
Blue120
456814.8
610120.2
6774.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641225010015020080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +24
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
64Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
80Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9210
#17
28.40.3
27.027.3
Auto5.7
Teleop20.5
End2.3
blue by 46.3
67
#1
74.60.3
63.863.5
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
Second
5150
#29
22.80.3
19.019.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
red by 2.6
6101
#21
20.20.5
21.521.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Third
8767
#31
21.80.3
16.016.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.4
red by 7.0
4568
#36
14.80.3
19.118.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned