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Red135
213768.5
83020.8
566049.3
Blue53
506638.5
883211.7
769215.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14058010015020013553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+50Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
18Coral scored#7
65Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
93Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
135Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.51.1
56.858.0
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
red by 30.0
38.50.7
34.233.5
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
Second
5660
#13
49.31.1
44.245.3
Auto6.9
Teleop35.9
End6.6
red by 33.6
7692
#19
15.81.2
17.616.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Third
830
#26
20.81.1
17.318.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9
red by 9.1
8832
#34
11.71.2
12.211.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed