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Red100
439521.7
222426.6
332243.6
Blue121
356819.7
89437.7
118842.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91977080100110120130100121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
18Processor points6
16Net points24
34Algae points30
83Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
100Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#15
43.60.5
38.739.1
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
red by 0.9
42.71.7
39.341.0
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
Second
2224
#32
26.60.8
22.923.6
Auto4.9
Teleop21.4
End0.3
blue by 11.1
894
#7
37.71.7
30.832.5
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
Third
4395
#24
21.70.5
19.720.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
red by 2.0
3568
#37
19.71.7
14.816.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned