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Red134
6774.6
511441.8
921028.4
Blue82
837331.1
9416.3
556732.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1536905010020025013482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
23Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +45
21Coral scored#8
77Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
95Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#3
9L3#3
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points6
134Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
74.60.1
63.563.7
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
red by 42.7
5567
#10
32.00.3
24.124.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
Second
5114
#16
41.80.1
41.441.6
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
red by 10.7
8373
#18
31.10.3
29.830.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
Third
9210
#17
28.40.1
27.327.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.5
End2.3
red by 12.1
94
#38
16.30.5
17.317.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned