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Red118
506638.5
439521.7
150232.1
Blue50
714716.1
921028.4
356819.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104702040608012014016018011850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
84Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
14Foul points2
118Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.2
33.533.7
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
red by 10.1
9210
#17
28.41.5
27.425.9
Auto5.7
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Second
1502
#14
32.10.2
34.835.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End2.1
red by 12.4
3568
#37
19.71.5
16.615.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End-0.7
Third
4395
#24
21.70.2
20.120.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
red by 5.6
7147
#35
16.12.5
17.515.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed