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Red103
619016.8
556732.0
570827.1
Blue65
722518.0
610120.2
377318.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77550204010012014016010365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
68Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
103Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#10
32.01.4
24.425.9
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
red by 11.7
6101
#21
20.20.6
22.121.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Second
5708
#33
27.11.4
26.027.4
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End3.1
red by 8.7
3773
#27
18.50.3
13.012.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Third
6190
#30
16.82.4
16.418.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 1.2
7225
#25
18.00.3
17.016.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed