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Red139
377318.5
2770.9
506638.5
Blue64
222426.6
876721.8
128.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12552010015020013964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+57Teleop
+69Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
17Coral scored#11
61Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
107Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
6Foul points0
139Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
70.91.6
67.569.2
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 42.1
1
#12
28.80.7
18.919.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Second
38.51.6
29.130.8
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
red by 11.9
2224
#32
26.61.2
20.521.7
Auto4.9
Teleop21.4
End0.3
Third
3773
#27
18.51.6
11.713.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 3.3
8767
#31
21.80.7
13.514.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed