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Red77
506728.5
883211.7
89437.7
Blue88
150232.1
511441.8
556732.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310802040601001201401607788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+19
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points34
6Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +9
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
57Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
77Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#7
37.70.7
25.125.8
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
blue by 4.1
5114
#16
41.80.2
36.936.7
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
Second
5067
#28
28.51.2
24.225.4
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
blue by 3.7
1502
#14
32.10.2
30.230.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End2.1
Third
8832
#34
11.71.2
16.717.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 20.2
5567
#10
32.00.2
23.923.7
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed