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Red96
511441.8
356819.7
222426.6
Blue102
883211.7
584344.6
150232.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96103608012014016096102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
69Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
96Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#16
41.81.0
41.942.8
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
blue by 2.8
44.60.9
40.841.8
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
Second
2224
#32
26.61.6
24.826.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.4
End0.3
blue by 5.6
1502
#14
32.10.9
35.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End2.1
Third
3568
#37
19.71.0
15.116.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End-0.7
red by 8.0
8832
#34
11.71.6
12.213.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned