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Red64
769215.8
553340.4
570827.1
Blue82
506638.5
556732.0
89437.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710260801201406482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
15Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
43Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points2
64Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5533
#22
40.41.1
37.035.8
Auto5.8
Teleop30.6
End4.0
red by 1.9
38.50.9
33.732.8
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
Second
5708
#33
27.11.1
27.426.2
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End3.1
blue by 10.5
894
#7
37.70.9
34.333.4
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
Third
7692
#19
15.81.9
16.914.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 16.2
5567
#10
32.00.9
25.924.9
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed