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Red158
506728.5
118842.7
2770.9
Blue82
499418.2
610120.2
714716.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16444010015020025015882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
103Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
18Foul points0
158Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
70.90.8
70.269.4
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 50.7
6101
#21
20.20.9
21.522.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Second
42.70.8
41.140.3
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
red by 24.5
4994
#20
18.20.6
13.714.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Third
5067
#28
28.51.4
22.921.5
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
red by 12.3
7147
#35
16.10.9
15.016.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed