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Red135
456814.8
107651.5
546069.1
Blue75
619016.8
515022.8
439521.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15861010020025013575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
91Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#3
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
135Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.11.1
66.465.3
Auto21.3
Teleop41.6
End6.2
red by 46.3
5150
#29
22.80.2
22.021.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Second
51.51.1
49.448.3
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
red by 29.8
4395
#24
21.70.2
20.420.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
Third
4568
#36
14.81.1
19.017.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 2.0
6190
#30
16.80.4
18.718.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed