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Red123
515022.8
128.8
107651.5
Blue42
356819.7
9416.3
377318.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11742010015020012342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+69Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +55
16Coral scored#4
59Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
77Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
123Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.9
48.350.2
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
red by 31.8
3568
#37
19.70.2
16.015.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End-0.7
Second
1
#12
28.81.9
24.126.0
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End5.6
red by 10.3
3773
#27
18.50.2
13.713.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Third
5150
#29
22.81.9
21.823.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
red by 6.5
94
#38
16.30.4
15.515.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed