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Red114
2770.9
722518.0
615233.8
Blue80
883211.7
566049.3
570827.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139905010015020011480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
77Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
114Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
70.90.7
69.468.6
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 21.6
5660
#13
49.30.7
45.244.5
Auto6.9
Teleop35.9
End6.6
Second
6152
#23
33.81.2
34.533.3
Auto6.8
Teleop24.0
End3.1
red by 6.7
5708
#33
27.10.7
26.225.5
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Third
7225
#25
18.00.7
15.014.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End1.4
red by 6.3
8832
#34
11.71.2
13.712.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed