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Red74
837331.1
769215.8
439521.7
Blue67
506728.5
150232.1
83020.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809540601201407467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
48Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
74Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#18
31.10.2
30.430.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
blue by 1.1
1502
#14
32.10.9
36.035.1
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End2.1
Second
4395
#24
21.70.2
20.120.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
blue by 6.8
5067
#28
28.51.5
21.520.0
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Third
7692
#19
15.80.3
14.915.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 5.1
830
#26
20.80.9
17.917.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed