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Red156
1065624.5
6774.6
506638.5
Blue104
332243.6
89437.7
511441.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128132110120140150160156104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+64Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +43
21Coral scored#9
77Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
95Total teleop52
Reef
10L4#4
8L3#4
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
156Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
74.62.7
66.369.0
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
red by 31.0
3322
#15
43.60.8
41.240.3
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
Second
38.52.7
33.235.9
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
blue by 3.2
5114
#16
41.80.8
42.141.2
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
Third
24.52.7
15.918.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End7.2
blue by 13.2
894
#7
37.70.8
33.432.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned