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Red111
118842.7
128.8
619016.8
Blue107
9416.3
213768.5
515022.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611650100150111107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
65Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#8
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
111Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.72.0
41.043.0
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
blue by 25.8
68.50.3
63.663.9
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
Second
1
#12
28.82.0
26.028.0
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End5.6
red by 6.0
5150
#29
22.80.3
23.724.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Third
6190
#30
16.83.2
13.516.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
red by 0.5
94
#38
16.30.5
15.215.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed