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Red140
556732.0
377318.5
213768.5
Blue83
553340.4
837331.1
356819.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139105015020014083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
91Total teleop63
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
140Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.52.5
63.966.4
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
red by 28.1
5533
#22
40.40.1
36.636.5
Auto5.8
Teleop30.6
End4.0
Second
5567
#10
32.02.5
25.728.1
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
red by 0.9
8373
#18
31.10.1
30.630.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
Third
3773
#27
18.52.5
13.516.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 1.2
3568
#37
19.70.1
17.617.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed