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Red116
584344.6
89437.7
499418.2
Blue44
128.8
9416.3
610120.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126705010015011644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#4
32Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
56Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
8Foul points2
116Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.61.0
44.045.0
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
red by 15.8
1
#12
28.81.4
28.026.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Second
894
#7
37.71.0
32.633.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
red by 17.4
6101
#21
20.22.0
19.617.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Third
4994
#20
18.21.0
16.317.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9
red by 1.9
94
#38
16.32.0
15.613.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned