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Red49
769215.8
506728.5
456814.8
Blue121
118842.7
511441.8
570827.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54128010015020049121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+58
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
7Coral scored#16
24Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
38Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
49Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#28
28.50.8
23.622.9
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
blue by 14.2
42.70.6
43.043.7
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
Second
7692
#19
15.80.8
15.714.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 26.0
5114
#16
41.80.6
41.241.8
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
Third
4568
#36
14.80.5
17.917.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 12.4
5708
#33
27.10.6
27.428.0
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned