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Red164
2770.9
883211.7
6774.6
Blue104
615233.8
107651.5
619016.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17010550150200164104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +41
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
111Total teleop70
Reef
15L4#8
7L3#3
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
164Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
74.60.5
69.770.2
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
red by 23.1
51.50.1
49.449.3
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
Second
27
#2
70.90.5
70.370.7
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 37.1
6152
#23
33.80.1
33.233.1
Auto6.8
Teleop24.0
End3.1
Third
8832
#34
11.70.7
11.211.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 5.1
6190
#30
16.80.1
16.616.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed