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Red119
876721.8
377318.5
566049.3
Blue109
556732.0
439521.7
1065624.5
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078550150200119109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points37
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
90Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
119Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#13
49.31.2
45.246.4
Auto6.9
Teleop35.9
End6.6
red by 17.4
5567
#10
32.01.5
28.129.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
Second
8767
#31
21.81.2
19.020.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 2.7
24.51.5
18.620.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End7.2
Third
3773
#27
18.51.2
16.017.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 3.2
4395
#24
21.71.5
21.623.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned