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Red162
89437.7
213768.5
615233.8
Blue134
9416.3
506728.5
584344.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1528050100200162134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
94Total teleop81
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#6
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points14
162Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.51.0
66.467.4
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
red by 24.0
44.61.6
45.046.6
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
Second
894
#7
37.71.0
33.634.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
red by 9.2
5067
#28
28.52.1
22.925.0
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Third
6152
#23
33.81.4
33.134.5
Auto6.8
Teleop24.0
End3.1
red by 17.5
94
#38
16.32.1
13.615.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned