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Red105
722518.0
83020.8
118842.7
Blue89
515022.8
377318.5
511441.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8186406010012010589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+22Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points38
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
18Processor points0
16Net points12
34Algae points12
76Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
105Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.72.0
43.745.6
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
red by 0.9
5114
#16
41.80.6
41.842.4
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
Second
830
#26
20.82.0
17.419.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9
blue by 2.0
5150
#29
22.80.6
21.722.2
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Third
7225
#25
18.02.0
14.316.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End1.4
blue by 0.4
3773
#27
18.50.6
17.117.7
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned