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Red149
2770.9
1065624.5
610120.2
Blue120
356819.7
876721.8
556732.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1397850100150200149120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+9Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#18
76Coral points65
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
18Processor points18
8Net points16
26Algae points34
102Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#7
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
149Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
70.91.6
70.772.3
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 38.9
5567
#10
32.02.4
29.632.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
Second
24.51.6
20.121.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End7.2
red by 2.7
8767
#31
21.82.4
20.222.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Third
6101
#21
20.22.1
17.619.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2
red by 0.5
3568
#37
19.72.4
17.519.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed