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Red106
150232.1
615233.8
9416.3
Blue158
332243.6
506728.5
506638.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92116406080100140160180106158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +31
15Coral scored#17
55Coral points60
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#5
12Processor points30
12Net points20
24Algae points50
79Total teleop110
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
106Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#23
33.81.2
34.535.7
Auto6.8
Teleop24.0
End3.1
blue by 9.8
3322
#15
43.62.8
41.143.8
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
Second
1502
#14
32.11.0
33.434.4
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End2.1
blue by 6.4
38.52.8
35.738.4
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
Third
94
#38
16.31.2
15.716.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 12.1
5067
#28
28.53.4
25.028.3
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned