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Red72
619016.8
83020.8
1065624.5
Blue101
222426.6
118842.7
584344.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6114805010020072101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
0Processor points6
12Net points20
12Algae points26
49Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
72Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.1
21.721.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End7.2
blue by 20.1
44.62.0
46.644.6
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
Second
830
#26
20.80.1
19.319.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9
blue by 21.9
42.72.0
45.643.7
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
Third
6190
#30
16.80.1
16.816.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 9.8
2224
#32
26.62.4
29.627.2
Auto4.9
Teleop21.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed