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Red145
556732.0
546069.1
332243.6
Blue97
515022.8
356819.7
2770.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211810020014597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+40Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
80Total teleop61
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
145Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.10.1
68.168.2
Auto21.3
Teleop41.6
End6.2
blue by 1.9
27
#2
70.91.2
72.371.1
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
Second
3322
#15
43.60.1
43.843.9
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
red by 20.8
5150
#29
22.81.2
22.221.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Third
5567
#10
32.00.1
32.032.1
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
red by 12.3
3568
#37
19.71.2
19.918.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed