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Red139
107651.5
506728.5
511441.8
Blue114
377318.5
499418.2
553340.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1467450100200250139114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#13
76Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
12Processor points12
24Net points28
36Algae points40
112Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#3
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
139Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.1
50.550.6
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
red by 11.1
5533
#22
40.41.7
38.740.5
Auto5.8
Teleop30.6
End4.0
Second
5114
#16
41.80.1
41.541.6
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
red by 23.3
3773
#27
18.51.7
16.718.5
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Third
5067
#28
28.50.1
28.328.5
Auto3.7
Teleop23.0
End1.7
red by 10.3
4994
#20
18.21.7
16.017.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned