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Red74
876721.8
456814.8
619016.8
Blue53
9416.3
714716.1
222426.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677202040801001201407453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
34Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
20Foul points0
74Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8767
#31
21.80.1
21.721.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 4.8
2224
#32
26.60.6
27.226.6
Auto4.9
Teleop21.4
End0.3
Second
6190
#30
16.80.1
16.716.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
red by 0.5
94
#38
16.30.6
16.916.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Third
4568
#36
14.80.1
14.714.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 1.4
7147
#35
16.10.6
16.716.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed