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Red108
556732.0
584344.6
515022.8
Blue52
883211.7
615233.8
439521.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113785010015020010852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+48Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points3
31Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
63Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
108Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.3
44.644.9
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
red by 10.7
6152
#23
33.82.0
35.733.7
Auto6.8
Teleop24.0
End3.1
Second
5567
#10
32.00.3
32.132.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
red by 10.3
4395
#24
21.71.8
24.022.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
Third
5150
#29
22.80.3
21.121.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
red by 11.1
8832
#34
11.72.0
13.811.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed