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Red149
921028.4
1065624.5
89437.7
Blue109
546069.1
722518.0
769215.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91121406080100140160180149109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
20Coral scored#13
72Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
94Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#6
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
12Foul points2
149Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#7
37.72.9
34.637.5
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
blue by 31.4
69.10.5
68.267.7
Auto21.3
Teleop41.6
End6.2
Second
9210
#17
28.42.9
25.828.7
Auto5.7
Teleop20.5
End2.3
red by 10.3
7225
#25
18.00.5
18.518.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Third
24.52.9
21.624.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End7.2
red by 8.7
7692
#19
15.80.5
16.415.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned