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Red99
150232.1
332243.6
118842.7
Blue153
213768.5
2770.9
837331.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201895010015020025099153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
10Coral scored#21
36Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
60Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#12
5L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
99Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#15
43.61.9
43.942.0
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
blue by 27.3
27
#2
70.91.6
71.169.5
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
Second
42.71.9
43.741.8
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
blue by 25.8
68.51.6
68.867.2
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
Third
1502
#14
32.11.9
34.432.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End2.1
red by 1.1
8373
#18
31.11.6
31.129.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned