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Red31
883211.7
9416.3
377318.5
Blue77
714716.1
769215.8
584344.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539302040801201401603177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +38
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
12Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
12Foul points0
31Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3773
#27
18.52.3
13.311.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 26.1
44.60.1
40.340.2
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
Second
94
#38DQ
16.33.8
22.418.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
red by 0.2
7147
#35
16.10.2
20.220.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
8832
#34
11.73.8
17.914.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 4.0
7692
#19
15.80.2
18.318.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned