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Red171
89437.7
837331.1
6774.6
Blue84
83020.8
876721.8
439521.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13846010015020017184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
117Total teleop61
Reef
14L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
171Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
74.63.1
60.863.8
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
red by 52.9
8767
#31
21.81.7
14.316.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Second
894
#7
37.73.1
25.828.9
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
red by 16.0
4395
#24
21.71.7
16.017.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
Third
8373
#18
31.13.1
27.430.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
red by 10.2
830
#26
20.81.7
16.418.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned