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Red203
2770.9
213768.5
610120.2
Blue110
107651.5
499418.2
118842.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18012050100150200250203110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+67Teleop
+87Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
10Coral scored#8
48Coral points38
51Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +63
22Coral scored#13
78Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
12Processor points6
32Net points8
44Algae points14
122Total teleop59
Reef
14L4#7
7L3#4
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +93
6Foul points0
203Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
70.90.9
70.070.9
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 19.4
51.50.1
51.551.5
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
Second
68.50.9
67.668.5
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
red by 25.8
42.70.1
42.742.7
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
Third
6101
#21
20.20.9
19.320.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2
red by 2.0
4994
#20
18.20.1
18.218.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9