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Red115
506638.5
332243.6
837331.1
Blue118
107651.5
83020.8
118842.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171256080100140160180200115118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
16Coral scored#17
59Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
77Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#7
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
115Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#15
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
blue by 7.8
51.50.1
51.551.5
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
Second
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
blue by 4.2
42.70.1
42.742.7
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
Third
8373
#18
31.10.0
31.031.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
red by 10.2
830
#26
20.80.1
20.820.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9