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Red196
6774.6
546069.1
515022.8
Blue152
2770.9
213768.5
610120.2
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177170120140160200220196152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points44
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +23
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points68
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
24Processor points12
28Net points12
52Algae points24
115Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#8
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points2
196Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
74.60.6
74.174.6
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
red by 3.7
27
#2
70.90.2
70.270.0
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
Second
69.10.6
68.569.0
Auto21.3
Teleop41.6
End6.2
red by 0.5
68.50.2
67.867.6
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
Third
5150
#29
22.80.6
22.222.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
red by 2.6
6101
#21
20.20.2
19.519.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2