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Red169
2770.9
213768.5
610120.2
Blue124
506638.5
332243.6
837331.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18011150100150200250169124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points31
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points47
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
24Processor points6
28Net points16
52Algae points22
113Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points2
169Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
70.90.3
69.970.2
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 27.3
3322
#15
43.60.2
43.043.3
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
Second
68.50.3
67.567.8
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
red by 30.0
38.50.2
37.938.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
Third
6101
#21
20.20.3
19.219.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2
blue by 10.8
8373
#18
31.10.2
30.530.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7