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Red122
566049.3
921028.4
584344.6
Blue134
107651.5
499418.2
118842.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812250100150200250122134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave6
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points34
13Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +5
21Coral scored#17
75Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
93Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#8
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
122Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#13
49.30.0
49.449.3
Auto6.9
Teleop35.9
End6.6
blue by 2.1
51.50.5
51.051.5
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
Second
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
red by 1.9
42.70.5
42.242.7
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
Third
9210
#17
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.5
End2.3
red by 10.2
4994
#20
18.20.5
17.718.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9