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Red64
592730.1
365832.8
522714.6
Blue45
963816.4
652820.5
261135.6
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77880501001506445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +38
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
53Total teleop15
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
64Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#16
32.80.5
22.922.4
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
blue by 2.8
2611
#17
35.63.4
34.130.7
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
Second
30.10.5
25.224.7
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
red by 9.6
6528
#11
20.53.4
25.021.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
5227
#29
14.60.5
20.520.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
blue by 1.8
9638
#35
16.43.4
16.713.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed