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Red147
954915.1
567544.9
657039.4
Blue28
432513.3
781412.8
720310.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9957020408012014016014728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+77Teleop
+79Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +66
15Coral scored#2
54Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
74Total teleop8
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +119
40Foul points0
147Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.91.9
33.135.1
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
red by 31.5
4325
#39
13.33.5
23.520.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Second
39.41.2
34.735.9
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
red by 26.6
7814
#24
12.83.5
15.411.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End3.0
Third
9549
#33
15.11.9
15.817.7
Auto2.5
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 4.4
7203
#34
10.73.5
15.712.1
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned