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Red152
276761.0
781412.8
365832.8
Blue82
724812.9
561021.7
1066623.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965302040608012014016015282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+68Teleop
+66Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
95Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#3
8L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
6Foul points2
152Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.05.6
44.950.5
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 37.7
23.31.3
12.213.5
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
Second
3658
#16
32.85.6
22.628.2
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
red by 11.1
5610
#28
21.71.3
19.020.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
Third
7814
#24
12.85.6
9.214.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End3.0
blue by 0.1
7248
#38
12.91.3
16.617.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned