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Qual 192025 FIM District St. Joseph Event presented by Whirlpool
Red50
721019.3
505621.4
295932.3
Blue65
720310.7
592730.1
657039.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8583506070901001101205065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
39Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
50Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#26
32.32.5
34.7→32.2
Auto5.5
Teleop25.9
End0.9
blue by 7.1
6570
#7
39.40.4
35.6→35.2
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
Second
5056
#18
21.42.5
22.3→19.8
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
blue by 8.7
5927
#9
30.10.7
24.9→24.3
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
Third
7210
#37
19.32.5
15.5→13.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
red by 8.7
7203
#34
10.70.7
10.6→9.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned