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Qual 202025 FIM District St. Joseph Event presented by Whirlpool
Red53
611420.3
7425.5
658820.1
Blue86
954915.1
107640.4
421615.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6485020401001201405386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+31
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
28Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points2
53Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#20
25.50.7
21.0→20.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
blue by 14.9
1076
#8
40.41.2
36.4→37.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
Second
6114
#14
20.30.7
21.5→20.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
red by 4.5
4216
#36
15.81.2
18.9→20.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
6588
#15
20.10.7
16.9→16.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
red by 5.0
9549
#33
15.11.2
17.7→18.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed