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Red112
725620.8
261135.6
205444.5
Blue93
876713.5
495615.6
567544.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109722040608010012014016011293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
76Total teleop69
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points2
112Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.2
43.144.2
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
blue by 0.3
44.91.9
34.636.5
Auto11.5
Teleop27.3
End6.1
Second
2611
#17
35.61.2
33.134.3
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
red by 20.0
4956
#31
15.61.9
11.813.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
7256
#13
20.80.7
13.814.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
red by 7.3
8767
#40
13.51.9
17.018.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed