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Red51
518216.7
432513.3
975822.3
Blue124
561021.7
555923.4
362054.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910020408012014016051124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+47
Endgame+67
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +37
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#6
1L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points6
51Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9758
#25
22.31.0
17.216.3
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
blue by 32.5
54.83.6
41.845.4
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
Second
5182
#30
16.71.0
15.914.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 6.7
5559
#23
23.43.6
17.020.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
Third
4325
#39
13.31.0
17.516.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 8.4
5610
#28
21.73.6
20.324.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned