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Red76
555923.4
495615.6
295932.3
Blue106
1066623.3
205444.5
505621.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7693406010012076106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points49
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
57Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points24
76Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#26
32.30.0
30.630.6
Auto5.5
Teleop25.9
End0.9
blue by 12.2
44.50.9
44.243.4
Auto7.8
Teleop34.8
End1.9
Second
5559
#23
23.40.0
20.720.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 0.1
23.30.9
12.912.1
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
Third
4956
#31
15.60.0
13.613.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 5.8
5056
#18
21.40.9
21.320.4
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed