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Red110
652820.5
362054.8
721019.3
Blue131
107640.4
592730.1
654849.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86109406080100120140110131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+43
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +57
9Coral scored#26
33Coral points92
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
61Total teleop118
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#8
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
110Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.8
45.447.3
Auto13.0
Teleop30.6
End11.2
red by 5.8
6548
#10
49.02.9
31.434.3
Auto8.2
Teleop39.9
End0.8
Second
6528
#11
20.51.8
19.020.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End3.4
blue by 19.8
40.42.9
37.040.0
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
Third
7210
#37
19.31.8
13.014.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 10.8
30.12.9
24.327.2
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed