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Red48
7425.5
954915.1
1047326.5
Blue85
423722.9
365832.8
505621.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70934060801001201404885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +52
3Coral scored#13
11Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
19Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
6Foul points6
48Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.4
21.919.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
blue by 6.2
3658
#16
32.80.0
28.929.0
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
Second
74
#20
25.52.4
21.118.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
red by 2.6
4237
#19
22.90.0
26.726.8
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Third
9549
#33
15.12.4
18.115.6
Auto2.5
Teleop10.7
End1.8
blue by 6.4
5056
#18
21.40.0
20.420.5
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed